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Only A Slot Player?
Think Again
by Frank
Scoblete

Who
is worth more to a casino, the slot player who plays three one-dollar coins
in the machine or the basic strategy blackjack player who plays $25 a hand?
I’m sure most people who aren’t suspicious of such questions, would tend to
think that the blackjack player who plays $25 a hand is the more valuable
because, after all, $25 is a lot of money. It’s enough to go to the movies,
have dinner at a diner, and maybe even buy something of interest for your
significant other. What’s $3? Even babysitters earn more than $3 to take
care of screaming, bawling kids.
Well, here’s something that might
surprise you - the slot player is more valuable by far! Let’s take a look at
why.
A blackjack player playing perfect
basic strategy in most multiple-deck games (and most blackjack games are
multiple deck now) will face about 60-80 decisions an hour at a crowded or
semi-crowded table. That means our blackjack player will wager approximately
$1500 to $2000 per hour. Now, if our blackjack player knows basic strategy
down cold (basic strategy is the computer derived correct decision for every
player hand vs. every dealer upcard), he will likely face a house edge of
about one-half percent (0.005). Just as an aside, the overwhelming majority
of blackjack players do not know basic strategy down cold and are giving the
casino perhaps a 1 to 2 percent house edge!
Facing such a house edge, he can then be
expected to lose approximately $7.50 to $10 per hour. Since comps of any
magnitude usually require that a player spend about four hours at the games,
to get “full comp” means our blackjack player’s expectation is to lose $30
to $40 per day.
That sounds like a lot of money until you
compare it to the staggering amount a one-dollar slot player will dump in
the same period of time. Watch this:
If our slot player puts through $3 on every
spin and does a moderate pace of 10-12 spins per minute (one every six or
five seconds), he is putting through between $30 and $36 per minute or $25%0
to $2160 per hour. That would be similar to a $25 blackjack player’s betting
handle. Unfortunately for the slot player, and fortunately for the casino,
the house edge on most $1 slot machines is not one-half percent but more
like 5 percent and sometime more like 8 percent.
The one-dollar slot player who plays three
coins can expect to lose in one hour - hold your breath -- between $90 and
$108! In four hours, he can expect to lose - close your eyes if you play the
slots -- between $360 and $432.
The slot player can expect to lose therefore
approximately ten times as much as a basic strategy blackjack player.
But it gets worse. If a slot player’s game of
choice is something like Megabucks or some other linked progressive, which
keeps approximately 15 percent of all the money played in the machine, the
slot player can expect to lose (this is sooo cruel) a whopping,
bankroll-chopping, staggering, (okay, okay, I’ll tell you) $1296 a day if he
plays three coins!
Now, let’s have some fun shall we? After all,
if your game of choice is one-dollar slots you must be reeling from
reading this. If the above statistics reflect a given slot player (perhaps
you), then realize that even a $100 blackjack player, that’s right Mr. High
Roller himself, is less valuable to the casino than are you. Our slot player
is more valuable than a $150 baccarat player; more valuable than a $200
craps player.
But here is the irony in all this. In fact,
it’s a two-fold irony. First, most people play the slots because they think
that betting $3 means they are betting less and therefore stand to lose
less than betting $25 or $100 at a table game such as blackjack. On one
decision, their idea is true, they are betting less. But in one minute or
one hour, their bets will accumulate and the house edge will hack away at
those bets, so that their losses are compounded and turn out to be greater
than the blackjack player’s losses.
Second, slot players think that somehow or
other table-game players are the lions of the casinos. This used to be true,
but it isn’t anymore. (I have the full story about this in my book, Break
the One-Armed Bandits: How to Come Out Ahead When You Play the Slots!)
Table game players are mere pussycats in the casino jungle; the slot players
are the kings and queens of that landscape. If casinos had their druthers
all players would play the machines, preferably for full coin,
high-denominations like $5 and $25, and for long hours. Of course, this
might end up with everyone who goes to the casinos not having enough money
to ever go to casinos again.
Now, am I recommending that slot lovers stop
playing the slots and switch to games that they don’t enjoy just to keep the
house edge at bay? No, I am not.
There are pitfalls in only looking at the math
of the games as I have done above. After all, the blackjack player playing
$100 a hand could lose 10 hands in a row and be down $1000 in short order,
maybe ten minutes. The slot player would rarely face such a monetary losing
streak since he couldn’t put that much money through the machine in such a
short period of time. This aspect of gambling is called volatility. The more
you bet, the more money, in absolute terms, you can lose on a bad streak.
And what of the good streaks? Well, generally
a $100 blackjack player would tend to win more with each good streak but -
the slot player has the possibility for incredible, mind-blowing wins on a
single spin. That’s the primary allure of the slots after all - some can
even change your life.
Next issue, I will explain ways to play the
slot machines, any slot machines, to reduce the house’s horrible hungriness
for your money and give you the same amount of fun to boot!
Frank Scoblete is the #1 best-selling gaming author in
America. His books and tapes have sold over a million copies. He is also the
director of The Golden Touch Craps dice-control
seminars. His websites are
www.goldentouchcraps.com and
www.scoblete.com . For a free brochure of his books and tapes, or
for information about Golden Touch dice-control
seminars, call toll free: 1-800-944-0406 or write to: Paone Press, PO Box
610, Lynbrook, NY 11563.
Articles by Frank
Scoblete
▪
In Baccarat Big is Better!
▪
Hitchcock, Blackjack and Suspense
▪
So What Is Normal On The Machines?
▪
Only A Slot Player? Think Again
▪ These Myths Are Mistakes
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